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Scramble for super-casino turns into lottery
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The scramble to house the UK¡¯s only Las Vegas-style super casino is turning into a lottery. The body set to up to decide its location has already received more than 40 applications and its head says he does not know how to chose between them.
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Professor Stephen Crow, head of the government¡¯s Casino Advisory Panel, said ¡°fairness and rigorous examination will be our watchwords¡± when assessing the applications. But when asked how he would choose, he said: ¡°How are we going to make up our minds? I don¡¯t know.¡±
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With the deadline for applications not until March 31 more authorities are expected to register interest in having a super casino. Blackpool is the favourite to win the licence, having made a super casino the cornerstone of a city-wide regeneration programme.
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However, London is also hopeful of winning the licence, with super casinos planned at the new Wembley stadium and next to the Millennium Dome.
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Under the government¡¯s controversial new gambling laws, which were passed last year, only one super casino will be allowed. An additional eight medium-sized new casinos and eight large ones will also receive licences.
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Speaking at a Social Market Foundation seminar to an audience that included several US casino operators, Professor Crow said most local authorities were only interested in super casinos. ¡°They are not so interested in the large or small ones,¡± he said.
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The government originally intended to grant eight super casino licences but was forced to cut the number to one after tense negotiations with the Conservatives in the run-up to the last general election.
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Richard Caborn, gambling minister, said recently the legislation could be revisited and the number of super casino licences increased ¨C provided there was sufficient support from local authorities, MPs and the public.
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Japanese equities
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In terms of sheer drama, the Japanese market¡¯s performance last week was tough to beat. A growing corporate scandal, with a high-profile police raid and a subsequent apparent suicide, was topped with the near-collapse of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Is the market as compelling for investors as viewers?
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Most of the factors underpinning last year¡¯s 40 per cent rally remain in place. The economy continues to expand ¨C albeit, on consensus numbers, at a slightly slower pace than last year. Deflation is virtually over, setting the stage for a return to normalised monetary policy. Its demise should also help shift some of the $7,000bn of household assets sitting in banks into riskier assets, and perk up property prices. Corporate net earnings are forecast to rise 9 per cent this fiscal year, the fourth consecutive year of growth, and balance sheets are strong.
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Much of that cash, however, could be put to better use. This year¡¯s expected 17 per cent increase in dividends translates into a total payout of only $32bn by companies listed on the TSE: the same amount as Microsoft¡¯s 2004 special dividend. Mergers and acquisitions surged last year to $240bn according to Dealogic. But the bulk of that is consolidation within group companies or orchestrated deals.
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There are risks to the bull scenario. Deflation, for example, may prove more stubborn as deregulation and competition unleash further price cuts. Japan remains relatively expensive, even after the two-day slide of last week. On a price/earnings basis, it trades at a premium of roughly 20 per cent to the US. Yet there is room for returns on capital to expand. Well-paid babyboomers will shortly be retiring, cutting payroll costs. Japan Inc has plenty of scope to improve capital efficiency, returning cash to shareholders and gearing up. Add the prospects of continued liquidity, and the market remains a buy. Always assuming, of course, the TSE is open.
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Livedoor chief and 3executives arrested
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Takafumi Horie, the chief executive of the Japanese internet group Livedoor, was arrested along with three other executives last night as the probe into allegations of breaches of security exchange laws gathered pace following the apparent suicide of a key witness.
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Prosecutors who had questioned Mr Horie during the day arrested the Livedoor chief together with Ryoji Miyauchi, the group¡¯s chief financial officer, and the presidents of two subsidiaries. They are being detained at Kosuge Detention Center, some distance from Tokyo.
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Livedoor executives are suspected of violating the securities exchange law by window-dressing the accounts of group companies and providing false information to manipulate the market.
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The move yesterday follows a week of frenetic activity, which began with the Public Prosecutor Office¡¯s raid on Livedoor offices last Monday and led to a near collapse of the Tokyo Stock Exchange during the week, as nervous investors rushed to offload Livedoor and other internet stocks.
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Prosecutors are believed to have moved faster than usual, following the apparent suicide of a key witness who was found dead just two days after the raid. The arrest of Mr Horie, who on Sunday wrote in his personal blog that he had not been involved in any of the alleged wrongdoing cited in the press, casts doubt over the future of the fast-growing internet services group and its once popular founder.
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Mr Horie and the internet services group he founded had come to symbolise a new generation of entrepreneurs, unafraid to challenge the status quo and with the potential to become the Google or Yahoo of Japan.
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His brash style and unabashed pursuit of wealth had unleashed harsh criticism from more conservative members of the business community who described his use of the tools of market capitalism as ¡°financial alchemy¡±.
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The Tokyo Stock Exchange said yesterday an arrest would not automatically lead to a de-listing of Livedoor, which would depend on the nature of the charges made.
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